Finding safe bets or knowing the result of a sports match before placing the bet is the dream of all betting experts.
If you are familiar with online sports betting than you surely have heard of Sure Bet, famous safe bets whose combination leads to guaranteed winnings. If you are looking for surebets on tennis, football, or motor sports than you have come to the right place.
We have a good and bad news for you: the bad news is that safe bets , like any other promise of fast and guaranteed income, are a false myth.
There is no certainty in the betting world and often even the most reliable sports predictions fail, leading many inexperienced bettors to lose all their bankroll.
The good news, however, is that there are several methods that can guarantee you a continuous gain and a constant profit in the long run, minimizing the risk of losing your capital, without having to resort to hypothetical safe bets.
Winning a bet slip is never a question of mere luck, based on success there is always a constant study and application of techniques that increase your chances of going to the cash desk.
Overcoming the most common mistakes of beginners is a good way to win bets.
Often the inexperienced bettor wagers exclusively on impressions, on the alleged “sixth sense”, without studying the events on which he decides to bet.
Any novice bettor, in similar situations, would be guided by instinct, leaving emotions to take the upper hand.
However a betting expert never gets caught up in anxiety or hurry: place your bets using the reasoning and documenting the state of the shape of the two teams you are about to face.
The predictions are not secure but the cards with high probability of success, however, yes and are the result of careful analysis of the games and past performances of individual teams.
It is very important to learn how to manage your budget correctly and decide from time to time how much to invest on individual bets before betting your money.
To understand how much to bet on a sporting event it is necessary to know how to calculate the probability of an event starting from the quota established by the bookmaker.
To win bets it is important to invest a low percentage of your bankroll, no more than 5% for two or three events at most.
A more matches bet on in a parlay, exponentially increases the statistics of failure.
The trick is to play few events at low odds, so if you had to run into losing cards, you would still win by keeping your profit active.
Always pay attention to the odds: before playing your cards try to understand how the values are established by the bookmakers and always keep in mind that their goal is to mislead you.
In general, the odds offered by bookmakers are more a reflection of what people believe bets, rather than the real probability that that result will take place.
To ensure victory, it is necessary to determine how the odds vary over time, based on how the bettors are placing their bets.
It is important to be patient and use math to try and win a ticket like most other betting experts.
Sometimes it is possible to bet on a sporting event and have the mathematical certainty to win.
First of all, it is important to know how to calculate the probability of an event starting from the quota established by the bookmaker.
Do not be afraid, you do not have to make any particular calculation, just use the calculator of your smartphone and do this very simple operation: 1 / share x 100.
if in the Inter-Bologna match the home team’s victory is quoted at 1.60, it means that according to the bookmaker the probability of winning the Inter is equal to 62.5% (ie 1 / 1.6 = 0.625 x 100) .
Choose any football match and add the odds of the three main events 1, X and 2.
You will almost certainly get a percentage above 100.
The higher value compared to 100 represents the profit margin of the bookmaker.
From here it is easy to guess that the game is for the benefit of the bookmaker and that even if you bet with three singles on all three events, you will always lose.
However, no one forbids us to bet on the three results through the odds of three different bookmakers.
In fact, always referring to the Inter – Bologna match, you can bet on the Inter win with a 1.60 odds at William Hill, on the odds of 4.20 from Betclic and on the victory of Bologna listed 8 by Paddy Power.
Here is the picture of the probabilities you will get:
Vittoria Inter = 62.5% (share 1.6 – William Hill)
Draw = 23.81% (odds 23.81 – Betclic)
Vittoria Bologna = 12.5% (share 8 – Peddy Power)
By summing the probabilities of the three events, you will get a number below 100, that is 98.81%.
This means that our payout is mathematically certain.
We do two calculations:
Sign 1: 625 euros x 1.6 = 1000 euros
Sign X: 238.10 euros x 4.2 = 1000 euros
Sign 2: 125 euros x 8 = 1000 euros
As you can see, compared to 988.1 euros spent (625 + 238.10 + 125) you will earn 1000 in any case. In this case, the payout is only € 11.90 and is obviously proportionate to the budget invested on the three signs.
As we have already stated, going to the cash desk is not a simple matter of luck but it can be a rational landing.
Mathematics and patience , in addition to the detailed study of the statistics of the games (to avoid having to do this study you can subscribe to INVICTUS ) are the winning weapons to guarantee a constant positive profit in the long run and play low risk cards .